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Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 56.66%1.76fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%56.55%56.70%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.80%59.70%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.45%43.30%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.152.152.2749.26%46.45%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 56.66%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 43.34%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.27, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.09%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 03:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.62%E -0.716%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 04:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 04:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 03:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 04:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 04:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 03:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 03:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 03:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 02:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 00:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.94%E -3.58%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.09%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 04:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.51%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 04:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.51%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.51%E -3.94%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 04:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 04:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.83%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.34%E -5.84%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.91%E -6.23%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -11.04%E -7.03%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.03%E -5.92%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-18 04:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.