Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 56.60%1.77fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.47%56.65%56.70%58.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.671.7363.29%59.99%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 43.40%2.30fair odd
EV +0.243%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.186%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.81%43.35%43.30%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.172.152.3149.50%46.13%46.51%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 56.60%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.40%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.243%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.04%E -3.64%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV +0.243%E +0.105%K +0.186%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-06 07:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.191%E -0.083%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.191%E -0.083%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 08:50
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.04%E -3.64%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.06%E -0.464%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 05:29
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.34%E -2.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.21%E -1.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.66%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.34%E -2.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 08:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 08:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 08:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.87%E -5.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.87%E -5.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 05:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.87%E -5.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.53%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 05:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.83%E -2.69%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:48
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.34%E -2.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-05 15:36
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.34%E -2.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-05 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 08:49
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 08:29
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 08:49
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 08:50
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.70%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:39
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 08:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.28%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.87%E -4.22%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 22:49
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.87%E -4.22%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 08:50
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -10.17%E -4.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.43%E -5.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-06 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -10.56%E -6.69%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.89%EV -12.34%E -6.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-06 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.