Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.99
assuming max odds 1.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 49.03%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 50.97%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.42%E -1.22%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 06:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.90%E -1.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.847%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 06:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 06:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 06:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.88%E -2.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -1.12%E -0.580%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-28 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 08:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.63%E -0.847%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 06:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 08:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -10.76%E -5.91%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -12.34%E -7.17%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 08:48 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.