Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-20 08:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 53.46%1.87fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.54%53.52%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.82%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 46.54%2.15fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.46%46.48%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.012.042.0852.91%49.65%49.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 53.46%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 46.54%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.67%E -1.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 08:14
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -10.65%E -5.55%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 08:34
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 08:24
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 08:34
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.11%E -5.82%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.30%E -2.40%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 08:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.30%E -2.40%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 08:29
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 08:39
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 08:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 08:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 08:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 08:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 08:03
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:25
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:24
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.06%E -2.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 08:34
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-20 08:20
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 08:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 08:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.12%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 08:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.12%E -5.36%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.65%E -5.55%K -11.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-20 08:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.09%EV -10.72%E -6.42%K -16.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -12.04%E -6.37%K -13.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-20 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.79%E -7.14%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.60%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.