Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 08:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.47%56.63%56.49%58.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7463.69%60.13%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV +0.536%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.409%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%43.37%43.51%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.012.162.152.3149.75%46.24%46.51%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 56.48%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 43.52%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.536%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV +0.536%E +0.232%K +0.409%G +0.002%3.5%2026-08-19 07:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 08:34
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.73%E -0.993%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 08:30
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 08:14
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 08:28
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 06:24
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 07:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 08:19
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.33%E -7.22%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.99%E -2.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:19
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 08:29
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:14
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:14
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:13
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:39
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.86%E -3.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:39
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.86%E -3.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.86%E -3.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.86%E -3.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:39
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.86%E -3.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.86%E -3.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:39
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 08:14
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -9.91%E -4.79%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 08:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.78%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 08:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.77%E -6.81%K -18.56%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -12.52%E -6.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-19 08:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.