Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.58%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%49.62%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.902.0556.82%52.50%52.63%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -0.701%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.38%50.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.871.9957.47%53.84%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +2.71%E +1.32%K +2.58%G +0.070%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -13.18%E -7.57%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 06:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +1.20%E +0.596%K +1.18%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:44
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +1.20%E +0.596%K +1.18%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:44
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +1.20%E +0.596%K +1.18%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +1.20%E +0.596%K +1.18%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:44
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +1.20%E +0.596%K +1.18%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:44
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +1.20%E +0.596%K +1.18%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:44
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.31%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 08:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 08:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 08:34
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 08:49
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 08:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 08:34
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 08:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 08:29
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -0.701%E -0.352%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-11 08:54
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 08:54
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 08:55
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 08:44
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 08:25
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 08:24
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 08:54
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 08:54
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 08:28
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 08:24
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 08:24
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 08:24
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 08:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 08:25
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 08:43
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.32%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 08:24
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.75%K -10.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 08:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.82%E -5.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 08:44
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.82%E -5.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.68%E -4.75%K -10.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.82%E -6.72%K -15.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.18%E -6.28%K -14.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.