The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV +4.51%
Edge +2.21%
Kelly +4.34%
Growth +0.196%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.01%50.69%51.28%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.841.822.0460.61%54.35%54.95%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%49.31%48.72%52.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.941.972.1055.25%51.47%50.76%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 51.23%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 48.77%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +4.51%E +2.21%K +4.34%G +0.196%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -11.73%E -6.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 09:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +4.51%E +2.21%K +4.34%G +0.196%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -11.73%E -6.48%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 09:09
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 08:56
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -1.97%E -0.982%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 08:59
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 09:09
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 00:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 19:29
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.44%E -1.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 09:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 09:06
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 09:06
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -15.47%E -9.37%K -23.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +2.41%E +1.15%K +2.20%G +0.053%8.2%2026-06-27 09:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.