Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 49.54%2.02fair odd
EV +0.063%
Edge +0.031%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.70%49.30%49.54%50.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.912.0256.18%52.26%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 50.46%1.98fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.34%50.70%50.46%53.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.851.9356.82%54.28%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 49.54%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 50.46%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.019. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.020, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.063%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -10.68%E -6.03%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 08:50
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -10.68%E -6.03%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 08:50
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -10.68%E -6.03%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -10.68%E -6.03%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 08:50
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -10.68%E -6.03%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 08:49
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.063%E +0.031%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -10.68%E -6.03%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 08:49
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.91%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-12 08:50
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -2.91%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.12%E -2.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 08:28
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.91%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.14%E -3.30%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:39
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.91%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.14%E -3.30%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.40%E -1.75%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 21:37
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.62%E -2.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 08:40
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.89%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.62%E -2.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 08:54
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.89%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 08:49
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.89%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 08:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 08:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 08:54
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:54
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:52
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.17%E -5.09%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 21:44
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.88%E -3.10%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 08:39
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.88%E -3.10%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.17%E -5.09%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 08:45
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.11%E -1.62%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 08:54
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:35
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:35
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:54
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:54
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:35
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:39
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.83%E -6.64%K -15.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.18%E -6.35%K -14.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-12 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.