Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 65.60%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 34.40%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.251%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -2.91%E -1.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 02:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.22%E -2.89%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.28%E -0.447%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.16%E -3.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.16%E -3.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 06:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 08:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 08:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 09:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 09:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.251%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -7.82%E -2.92%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -8.81%E -6.34%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 09:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -8.81%E -6.34%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -10.12%E -7.39%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 08:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.