The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 08:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.66%54.27%54.20%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.7960.61%57.35%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.73%45.80%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.052.052.1550.51%48.68%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 54.21%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 45.79%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 08:40
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 08:20
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:30
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:30
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:20
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 07:09
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:40
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:39
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 08:09
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 08:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 22:20
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 10:49
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 08:39
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:59
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 08:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -8.88%E -4.46%K -8.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.