Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 08:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.082%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%52.41%52.29%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.9158.82%55.64%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV +0.224%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.203%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.59%47.71%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.1053.48%50.48%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 52.27%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 47.73%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.095. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.224%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.61%E -6.21%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.224%E +0.107%K +0.203%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 00:17
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.95%E -3.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.731%E -0.351%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 01:09
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.04%E -5.20%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 04:18
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.13%E -6.55%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:09
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 07:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:19
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:19
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.72%E -0.917%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 08:18
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 03:20
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 08:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 08:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 08:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 08:19
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 08:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 08:19
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 08:18
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 08:19
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.20%K -12.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 03:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.156%E -0.082%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 08:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -10.09%E -5.87%K -14.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -9.80%E -5.18%K -11.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-28 08:40
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -1.72%E -0.917%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.