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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)
Prediction 69.02%1.45fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.09%69.06%68.81%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4276.92%73.74%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 30.98%3.23fair odd
EV +0.673%
Edge +0.207%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.94%31.19%32.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.063.053.2537.74%32.64%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 69.02%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 30.98%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.673%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.82%E -5.05%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.673%E +0.207%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.876%E -0.274%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.876%E -0.274%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.876%E -0.274%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.75%E -3.44%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-28 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.75%E -3.44%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -1.50%E -0.470%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -3.37%E -2.40%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-28 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.89%E -6.73%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.99%E -1.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -5.52%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.93%EV -5.44%E -3.97%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.07%EV -5.83%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 08:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.37%E -2.40%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.37%E -2.40%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 14:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 06:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.82%E -5.05%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.07%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-28 06:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -1.99%E -1.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -7.38%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-28 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.75%E -3.44%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.72%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.13%E -4.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-28 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.33%EV -9.58%E -7.31%K -30.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.67%EV -16.36%E -6.06%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.09%EV -10.27%E -7.90%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.91%EV -17.91%E -6.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.