The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 59.74%1.67fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.74%59.85%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6565.79%63.39%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 40.26%2.48fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%40.26%40.15%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4444.44%42.71%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 59.74%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 40.26%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.42%E -0.863%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 05:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.42%E -0.863%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 05:15
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.42%E -0.863%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 05:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 12:30
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:50
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 12:30
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.41%E -2.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.59%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 12:34
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 12:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 08:45
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 08:44
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 04:57
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 12:30
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 08:04
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 13:04
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 12:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:05
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 13:25
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 22:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 03:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 14:17
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.