默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 60.44%1.65公平赔率

EV -2.08%

优势 -1.29%

Kelly -3.36%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

58.78%60.43%60.61%62.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.31%64.52%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 39.56%2.53公平赔率

EV -1.90%

优势 -0.765%

Kelly -1.28%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布

37.69%39.57%39.39%41.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.302.392.382.4843.48%41.82%42.02%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：60.44%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：39.56%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.53。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.48，期望值为-1.90%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.27%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-05-05 04:40
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-05 04:30
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.62%E -3.73%K -6.58%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-05 04:29
William Hill🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.69%E -1.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-05 04:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-05-05 04:29
LowVig.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-05-05 04:30
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-05 04:34
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-05 04:34
Fanatics🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.08%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-05 04:40
DraftKings🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-05 04:39
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-04 12:54
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.11%E -3.25%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-05 04:29
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.11%E -3.25%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-05 04:34
FanDuel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.71%E -3.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-05 04:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.71%E -3.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.06%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-05 04:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.71%E -3.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-05 04:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.31%E -4.07%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-05 04:38
Coral🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.31%E -4.07%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-05 04:35
ReBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.92%E -4.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-05 04:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-05 04:40
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-04 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-04 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-04 15:24
Everygame🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-05 04:44
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-05 04:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-05 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.73%E -5.78%K -17.12%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-05-05 04:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:49
BetRivers🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:49
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。