L’École des cotes

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prévision 60.44%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%60.43%60.61%62.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.31%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.56%2.53cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.69%39.57%39.39%41.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.392.382.4843.48%41.82%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.27%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 04:40
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 04:30
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.62%E -3.73%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 04:29
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.69%E -1.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 04:39
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 04:29
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 04:30
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 04:34
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.29%E -2.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 04:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.08%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 04:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 04:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 12:54
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.11%E -3.25%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:29
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.11%E -3.25%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:34
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.71%E -3.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 04:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.71%E -3.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.06%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 04:40
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.71%E -3.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 04:40
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.31%E -4.07%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.64%E -2.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 04:38
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.31%E -4.07%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 04:35
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.92%E -4.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 04:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 04:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:24
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:44
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.52%E -4.92%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:40
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 04:35
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.73%E -5.78%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 04:49
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:49
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:49
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:50
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:50
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.34%E -6.22%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -1.90%E -0.765%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.