The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 61.48%1.63fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%61.39%61.33%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.531.6168.97%64.95%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 38.52%2.60fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.61%38.67%41.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.432.422.6443.86%41.15%41.24%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 61.48%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 38.52%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV +1.69%E +0.642%K +1.03%G +0.017%3.2%2026-08-08 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.153%E +0.059%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 08:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.618%E -0.239%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.00%E -0.390%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.00%E -0.390%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 08:30
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -5.32%E -3.46%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -1.00%E -0.390%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 08:50
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.00%E -0.390%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 08:55
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.40%E -5.63%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.77%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.55%E -4.31%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.16%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.70%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 08:40
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.01%E -6.09%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.70%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.62%E -6.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.70%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.55%E -4.31%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.08%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.09%E -2.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 08:40
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.17%E -4.75%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 08:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.48%E -2.21%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 08:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.32%E -3.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.32%E -3.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.32%E -3.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -9.62%E -6.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.48%E -4.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 08:45
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.25%E -1.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.02%E -0.632%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.02%E -0.632%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.02%E -0.632%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.02%E -0.632%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.02%E -0.632%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.02%E -0.632%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -10.85%E -7.49%K -24.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.