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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)
Prediction 61.17%1.63fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.44%61.07%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.531.6268.97%64.66%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 38.83%2.58fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +2.85%
Growth +0.138%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%38.56%38.93%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.432.7044.44%41.21%41.15%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 61.17%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 38.83%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -10.08%E -6.86%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +4.84%E +1.79%K +2.85%G +0.138% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.30%E -7.80%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +2.90%E +1.09%K +1.76%G +0.051% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.96%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 04:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.08%E -6.86%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.96%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.70%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 04:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.70%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.13%E -1.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.09%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.52%E -0.943%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.86%E -1.99%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.52%E -0.943%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.86%E -1.99%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -2.13%E -1.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -5.25%E -2.15%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.64%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.64%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.64%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.64%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.64%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.64%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.74%E -1.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -6.03%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 04:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.93%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.81%E -2.84%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.81%E -2.84%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.81%E -2.84%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -7.19%E -3.01%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.58%E -3.19%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.13%E -1.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.75%E -3.72%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.13%E -1.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.75%E -3.72%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.96%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.75%E -3.72%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 04:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.75%E -3.72%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.75%E -3.72%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.906%E -0.559%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -9.91%E -4.27%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.52%E -0.943%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.69%E -4.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.69%E -4.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.96%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.63%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.