The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 08:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 46.06%2.17fair odd
EV +7.77%
Edge +3.32%
Kelly +5.80%
Growth +0.451%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.06%45.86%46.15%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.052.3452.63%48.43%48.66%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 53.94%1.85fair odd
EV -0.744%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.885%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%54.14%53.85%58.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.721.8461.35%57.92%58.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 46.06%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 53.94%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV +7.77%E +3.32%K +5.80%G +0.451%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -12.07%E -7.41%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 07:09
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.32%E +0.602%K +1.10%G +0.015%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.91%E -5.94%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.44%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:35
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.44%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.44%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:35
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.44%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -1.44%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 08:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.91%E -5.94%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.91%E -5.94%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.91%E -5.94%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:20
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.20%E -2.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -5.12%E -2.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -0.744%E -0.404%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 08:40
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.12%E -2.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.30%E -4.88%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 08:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.30%E -4.88%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 08:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.99%E -6.66%K -16.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.04%E -2.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.06%E -2.87%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:35
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:35
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.90%E -1.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 08:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.52%E -2.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 08:34
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.14%E -3.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.68%E -3.86%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 08:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.89%E -3.94%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.76%E -4.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.65%E -5.49%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.37%E -5.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-05 08:35
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.58%K -13.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -0.744%E -0.404%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.49%E -6.58%K -13.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.45%E -6.30%K -15.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.