The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 08:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 36.18%2.76fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.24%36.27%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.602.7140.00%38.56%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 63.82%1.57fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.76%63.73%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.23%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 36.18%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 63.82%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.95%E -0.719%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 07:39
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.31%E -0.856%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:34
BetUS🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.40%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 07:49
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.40%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.36%E -1.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 06:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.36%E -1.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 06:05
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 06:55
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.00%E -1.97%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 13:48
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:29
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:32
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 21:47
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 23:09
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.74%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:20
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 23:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.