The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 52.70%1.90fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%52.62%52.71%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.801.8660.24%55.83%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 47.30%2.11fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.38%47.29%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.62%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 52.70%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 47.30%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -1.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.99%E -1.07%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 08:50
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -2.51%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 08:50
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.51%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -11.07%E -5.89%K -12.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 08:55
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.09%E -2.25%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 08:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.09%E -2.25%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.44%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 03:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.44%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 03:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 02:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 20:13
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 03:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 03:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 03:45
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 08:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 03:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 02:24
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 03:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 03:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 03:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -11.54%E -6.17%K -13.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-04 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.44%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.56%EV -13.43%E -7.34%K -16.18%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-04 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.