Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.98%55.12%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.751.7760.61%57.72%56.98%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%45.02%44.88%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.072.1850.00%48.13%48.31%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 55.08%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 44.92%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 08:40
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:19
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:20
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:19
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:19
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 06:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 07:39
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.71%E -2.73%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.07%E -0.950%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 05:09
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 08:29
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.37%E -3.75%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 06:09
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.92%E -4.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 06:08
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.12%E -5.53%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.12%E -5.53%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 08:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.