Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.20
assuming max odds 1.78
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 44.74%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 55.26%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.58%E -0.718%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.03%E -0.926%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.26%E -4.98%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 08:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.03%E -6.85%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 08:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 06:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 05:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 08:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 07:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 07:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -10.97%E -5.52%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -1.63%E -0.916%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.