Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 08:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 40.10%2.49fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.075%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%40.10%40.05%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.372.352.5847.62%42.15%42.55%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 59.90%1.67fair odd
EV +0.041%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%59.90%59.95%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.561.6767.11%63.71%64.10%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 40.10%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 59.90%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +3.45%E +1.34%K +2.18%G +0.075%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -8.35%E -5.45%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 12:54
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +2.24%E +0.879%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.74%E -7.21%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +2.24%E +0.879%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.74%E -7.21%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +2.24%E +0.879%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.74%E -7.21%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +2.24%E +0.879%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.74%E -7.21%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +2.24%E +0.879%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.74%E -7.21%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:15
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +2.24%E +0.879%K +1.45%G +0.032%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.74%E -7.21%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 08:15
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.238%E +0.095%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.14%E -6.76%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 12:09
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.77%E -0.721%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 08:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.77%E -0.721%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 08:20
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.45%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 08:35
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.45%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.45%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:30
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:20
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.58%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV +0.041%E +0.025%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 08:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -7.38%E -3.19%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -0.558%E -0.336%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-21 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.16%E -0.701%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 08:40
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.95%E -1.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 08:35
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.95%E -1.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 08:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 08:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 08:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 08:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 08:18
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.35%E -5.45%K -15.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 08:34
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -12.19%E -5.57%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV +0.041%E +0.025%K +0.062%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -13.80%E -6.42%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +0.041%E +0.025%K +0.062%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 08:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -15.80%E -7.52%K -14.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -1.16%E -0.701%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.