The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 36.65%2.73fair odd
EV +0.431%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.15%36.68%36.59%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.602.7443.48%38.71%38.46%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 63.35%1.58fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -5.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%63.32%63.41%64.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.40%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 36.65%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 63.35%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.431%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.431%E +0.157%K +0.248%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 08:51
BetUS🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV +0.064%E +0.023%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 08:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.04%E -0.384%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.04%E -0.384%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 08:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.04%E -0.384%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 08:50
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -1.77%E -0.660%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 08:50
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.50%E -0.940%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 08:51
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 07:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 08:45
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 08:45
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 08:45
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 08:45
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 08:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -5.07%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 08:50
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 07:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 07:30
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 08:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:44
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:14
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 02:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 02:54
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 02:15
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -13.13%E -5.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.70%EV -10.68%E -7.58%K -26.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -15.70%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.16%EV -11.31%E -8.08%K -28.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-25 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.