The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 10:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.84%39.04%38.93%40.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.422.432.5346.51%41.37%41.15%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 60.99%1.64fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.72%60.96%61.07%62.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.541.6268.97%64.91%65.15%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 39.01%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 60.99%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.31%E -0.518%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 09:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.29%E -4.80%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 09:05
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 09:05
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 09:05
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.02%E -1.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 07:15
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 09:25
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 09:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 09:24
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 09:25
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 09:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 09:24
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 09:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.19%E -0.736%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.19%E -0.736%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 22:25
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 08:34
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 04:34
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 22:15
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 22:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.55%E -3.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 05:20
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 22:59
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.84%EV -13.40%E -6.04%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.16%EV -10.34%E -7.03%K -22.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-24 09:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -16.13%E -7.50%K -14.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-24 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.