The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.541%
Kelly +0.907%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%40.74%41.00%43.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.322.352.4847.39%43.17%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 59.14%1.69fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.74%59.26%59.00%61.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.591.6765.79%62.92%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 40.86%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.14%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.34%E +0.541%K +0.907%G +0.012%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-04 20:59
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:29
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:29
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.93%E -0.803%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-04 21:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 08:10
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.97%E -3.76%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.52%E -6.22%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-04 21:29
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.56%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 08:39
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 08:39
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.02%E -1.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-05 08:29
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:50
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.38%E -1.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-05 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.42%E -2.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 08:49
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 08:39
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 08:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.79%E -2.98%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 08:29
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.97%E -3.76%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-05 08:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 08:40
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 08:49
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -10.51%E -4.80%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -1.24%E -0.744%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.14%E -5.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.93%E -5.80%K -16.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-05 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 41.87%EV -13.78%E -6.53%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.13%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-05 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.