Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.15%59.51%59.46%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.581.7165.79%62.92%63.29%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV -0.999%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.689%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.49%40.54%43.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.312.302.4545.66%43.31%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 59.59%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 40.41%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +1.90%E +1.11%K +2.68%G +0.051%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -11.51%E -5.25%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 08:24
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -1.08%E -0.650%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.89%E -4.43%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 08:55
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.27%E -1.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 08:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 08:50
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 08:30
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.40%E -0.575%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 08:45
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.10%E -5.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.10%E -5.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.10%E -5.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 08:44
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 08:54
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 08:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 08:33
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 08:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:45
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 08:39
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.999%E -0.408%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 08:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.23%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -11.10%E -5.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.42%E -6.20%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.