The School of Odds

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 56.82%1.76fair odd
EV -0.004%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.32%56.73%56.94%57.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7663.69%60.02%59.88%56.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 43.18%2.32fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.27%43.06%46.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.012.172.162.2849.75%46.17%46.30%43.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.005%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 09:05
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.005%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -13.20%E -6.57%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 09:10
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 09:10
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:10
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:09
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:09
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-06 14:04
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.31%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 09:04
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.97%E -0.869%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 04:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 09:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 09:10
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.06%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 15:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.06%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 14:04
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.69%E -3.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.54%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 14:04
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.69%E -3.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.27%E -1.46%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 14:05
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 03:02
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.43%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 14:03
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 08:20
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.31%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 09:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 14:04
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 18:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 02:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 02:05
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 02:19
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.09%E -5.68%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 08:25
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.09%E -5.68%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 09:04
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.34%E -6.08%K -11.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-07 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.