Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 62.29%1.61fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%62.31%62.26%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.531.5670.42%66.07%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 37.71%2.65fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.669%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%37.69%37.74%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.7044.44%40.32%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 62.29%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 37.71%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.81%E +0.669%K +1.06%G +0.019%4.6%2026-09-23 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.674%E +0.252%K +0.404%G +0.003%3.2%2026-09-23 08:45
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -5.31%E -3.50%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.462%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 08:55
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.34%E -0.904%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-23 08:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.34%E -0.904%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-23 08:15
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.94%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 08:45
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.10%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-23 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.94%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 08:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 08:49
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 08:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 08:45
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-23 08:44
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-23 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 08:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-23 08:48
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-23 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-23 08:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-23 08:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-23 08:45
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 08:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.76%EV -10.92%E -7.64%K -25.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 38.24%EV -12.90%E -5.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-23 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.31%EV -11.54%E -8.13%K -27.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-23 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.