The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 51.95%1.92fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.00%52.00%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.821.8758.14%55.26%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 48.05%2.08fair odd
EV -0.063%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%48.00%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0853.48%51.04%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 51.95%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 48.05%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.081. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.080, with an expected value of -0.063%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:34
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.43%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 08:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.89%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:49
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -4.41%E -2.39%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 08:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 08:24
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 08:45
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.063%E -0.031%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 08:35
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 08:35
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.79%E -3.50%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:35
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.27%E -3.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.50%E -0.734%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:25
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.23%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.00%E -3.91%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 08:33
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.04%E -4.54%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 08:20
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.71%E -4.59%K -9.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.64%E -6.19%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.