The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.85%59.32%59.37%60.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.591.6365.36%63.04%62.89%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd
EV -0.530%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.365%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%40.68%40.63%42.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.312.302.4547.62%43.24%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 15:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.530%E -0.216%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 09:05
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.530%E -0.216%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 09:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -0.936%E -0.383%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 09:10
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 15:10
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 09:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 00:39
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 15:14
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 08:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 15:14
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -0.936%E -0.383%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 08:44
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 08:38
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 08:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 09:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 09:00
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.78%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 08:35
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 15:19
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 08:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 08:54
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 08:20
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 08:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 08:19
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 08:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 02:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 02:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 18:24
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.71%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-09 09:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 06:00
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 08:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-09 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -14.74%E -7.02%K -13.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-09 09:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.