The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 58.84%1.70fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.87%58.85%58.75%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6664.52%62.38%62.31%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.15%41.25%42.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.292.3945.45%43.72%43.57%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 58.84%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 41.16%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.39, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.33%E -1.40%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.15%E -2.70%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 08:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 04:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.92%E -1.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 04:45
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.51%E -2.14%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.62%E -0.679%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 08:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.51%E -2.14%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 08:35
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.09%E -2.51%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.74%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.86%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 08:39
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 08:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 08:14
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.68%E -2.89%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 08:15
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.27%E -3.27%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 08:15
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.86%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 08:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 23:04
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.45%E -4.06%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 08:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.45%E -4.06%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.97%E -3.09%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 08:50
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.45%E -4.06%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 08:40
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.04%E -4.45%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 18:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 08:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 08:40
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.62%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.21%E -5.26%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-08 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.33%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.