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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 46.28%2.16fair odd
EV -0.488%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%46.13%46.31%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.032.042.1552.91%49.24%49.14%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -0.626%
Edge -0.339%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%53.87%53.69%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.731.8560.24%57.30%57.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 46.28%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 53.72%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.488%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.488%E -0.227%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.22%E -5.46%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 13:22 |
| William Hill | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.88%E -0.885%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-14 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-15 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-15 08:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.22%E -5.46%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.70%E -0.929%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 08:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.70%E -0.929%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.16%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 08:28 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.15%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.43%E -3.72%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.15%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.67%E -5.53%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.22%E -5.46%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.52%E -6.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.626%E -0.339%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -12.52%E -6.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -10.83%E -6.53%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-15 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.