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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%44.57%44.65%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.132.132.3250.76%46.95%47.06%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 55.36%1.81fair odd
EV -0.915%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%55.43%55.35%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.691.7963.69%59.13%59.00%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 44.64%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 55.36%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV +3.58%E +1.54%K +2.71%G +0.097% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -12.54%E -7.94%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +3.58%E +1.54%K +2.71%G +0.097% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +3.58%E +1.54%K +2.71%G +0.097% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -13.09%E -8.34%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.78%E -0.810%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.78%E -0.810%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.66%E -5.25%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 22:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.23%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 05:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.11%E -4.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.11%E -4.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.11%E -4.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 06:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.32%E -6.37%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 06:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.88%E -6.76%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.47%E -0.825%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 08:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 07:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.02%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 06:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 06:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 06:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.66%E -5.25%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 06:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -6.69%E -3.20%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 06:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.14%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.47%E -0.825%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 07:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.14%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.47%E -0.825%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 07:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 06:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.71%E -5.36%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.66%E -5.25%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.05%E -6.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.915%E -0.511%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.