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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV -0.364%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%49.97%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.871.9956.82%53.35%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -0.136%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%50.03%50.00%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.882.0057.14%53.28%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 50.07%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 49.93%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.003. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.136%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -0.364%E -0.183%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -0.865%E -0.437%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -10.12%E -5.62%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 22:43 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.37%E -1.21%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.12%E -5.62%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -2.37%E -1.21%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -12.62%E -7.21%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-15 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.12%E -5.62%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -0.136%E -0.068%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 07:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-16 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-16 08:45 |
| ReBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-16 08:48 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 07:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.136%E -0.068%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.136%E -0.068%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-16 08:50 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.63%E -3.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-16 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%EV -10.38%E -5.80%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -9.12%E -5.01%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-16 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.88%E -6.75%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.12%E -6.25%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-16 08:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.