The School of Odds

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants

2026-07-16 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 48.39%2.07fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.70%48.33%48.47%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0255%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 51.61%1.94fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.67%51.53%53.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.831.8857%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.98%E -1.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-15 13:15
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 19:30
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.01%E -2.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-15 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 13:49
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 13:49
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 18:19
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.70%E -1.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 14:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.18%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 18:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.18%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 18:54
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 13:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 13:14
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 14:54
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 13:45
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 14:09
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 14:19
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.12%E -3.15%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 13:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 13:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 13:14
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 17:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 14:04
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 14:04
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.57%E -3.96%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 18:04
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.05%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.51%E -5.08%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-15 13:18
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -11.44%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.20%E -5.86%K -13.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-15 13:14
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -11.44%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.20%E -5.86%K -13.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-15 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.