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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 48.24%2.07fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%48.04%48.47%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0354.95%51.26%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 51.76%1.93fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%51.96%51.53%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.811.8958.48%55.33%55.25%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 48.24%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 51.76%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.07%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.07%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.18%E -1.15%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.49%E -6.72%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.00%E -2.01%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.25%E -2.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-14 07:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.48%E -2.26%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.70%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.25%E -2.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 07:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.25%E -2.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.44%E -2.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.49%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.25%E -2.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.25%E -2.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.28%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 07:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.28%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 07:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 07:20 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.42%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 07:20 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.42%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 08:55 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.42%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.86%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.28%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 08:34 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 07:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.25%E -2.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -10.27%E -5.52%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.42%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -12.20%E -6.70%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -10.98%E -6.38%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.