默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

40%

60%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 39.81%2.51公平赔率

EV -1.66%

优势 -0.672%

Kelly -1.13%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.47

博彩公司预测分布

39.09%40.03%39.70%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.252.342.352.4744.44%42.66%42.55%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 60.19%1.66公平赔率

EV -1.90%

优势 -1.16%

Kelly -3.01%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布

58.14%59.97%60.30%60.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.31%63.29%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：39.81%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：60.19%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.47，期望值为-1.66%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.66%E -0.672%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-04-16 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.46%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.10%E -1.93%K -5.08%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-16 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.46%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.10%E -1.93%K -5.08%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-16 08:45
Fanatics🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.46%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.30%E -2.71%K -7.29%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-04-16 08:43
DraftKings🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.30%E -2.71%K -7.29%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-16 08:40
FanDuel🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-16 08:45
Betsson🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.91%E -3.10%K -8.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-16 08:50
NordicBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.91%E -3.10%K -8.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-16 08:50
BetMGM🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-16 08:45
Bovada🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.31%E -4.75%K -13.54%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-16 08:39
BetUS🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.24%E -2.20%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-16 08:40
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.24%E -2.20%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-16 08:45
1xBet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -5.64%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -1.90%E -1.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-04-16 08:35
Coolbet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-16 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 08:45
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-16 08:45
ReBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-16 08:45
Everygame🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.93%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-16 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.52%E -5.60%K -16.38%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-04-16 08:40
William Hill🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.84%E -2.92%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -1.90%E -1.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-16 00:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.84%E -2.92%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-16 08:55
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.43%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-16 08:44
Coral🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.43%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.93%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-04-16 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-15 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-15 19:45
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-15 19:50
Bally Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-15 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-15 19:55
BetRivers🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-15 19:54
Caesars🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.50%E -1.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-15 16:49
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-16 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-16 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-16 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.52%E -5.60%K -16.38%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-04-16 08:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。