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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 46.17%2.17fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.929%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%46.06%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1952.36%48.67%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)
Prediction 53.83%1.86fair odd
EV +0.667%
Edge +0.357%
Kelly +0.767%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.94%53.25%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.731.8760.61%57.46%57.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 46.17%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 53.83%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +1.11%E +0.505%K +0.929%G +0.010% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.95%E -4.65%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.741%E -0.344%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.02%E -5.34%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.741%E -0.344%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.10%E -6.05%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.13%E -1.00%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.10%E -6.05%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.10%E -6.05%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.10%E -6.05%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.18%E -6.77%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV -6.28%E -3.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV +0.667%E +0.357%K +0.767%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-05-01 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -6.28%E -3.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -0.948%E -0.515%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 08:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.49%E -0.812%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.49%E -0.812%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 08:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.