The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

2026-08-14 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%42.86%42.91%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.50%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 57.19%1.75fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%57.14%57.09%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.651.661.6963.29%60.71%60.24%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 42.81%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 57.19%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -1.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.53%E -0.666%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.53%E -0.666%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.53%E -0.666%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 14:24
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 15:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 14:14
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 14:14
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 14:10
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 14:14
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 14:46
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 14:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 14:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 16:04
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.52%E -5.03%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-13 14:13
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-13 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.