默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-08-16 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

41%

59%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 41.34%2.42公平赔率

EV -0.781%

优势 -0.325%

Kelly -0.558%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布

40.05%41.49%41.29%44.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.132.272.252.4046.95%44.02%44.44%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 58.66%1.70公平赔率

EV -0.867%

优势 -0.513%

Kelly -1.26%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

55.99%58.51%58.71%59.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.611.611.6966.23%62.05%62.11%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：41.34%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：58.66%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.42。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.40，期望值为-0.781%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.781%E -0.325%K -0.558%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.97%E -3.07%K -8.02%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-16 08:55
1xBet🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -1.19%E -0.500%K -0.859%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -4.97%E -3.07%K -8.02%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-16 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.02%E -0.853%K -1.48%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-16 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.02%E -0.853%K -1.48%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-16 08:44
FanDuel🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 08:54
BetUS🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.85%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-16 08:54
NordicBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.85%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 08:50
Betsson🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.85%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 08:49
DraftKings🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.85%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.73%E -4.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 08:54
Bovada🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.85%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.87%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 08:49
Pinnacle🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.04%E -1.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-16 08:45
ReBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.92%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.73%E -4.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-16 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.92%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.73%E -4.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-16 08:54
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.92%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.87%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-16 08:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.92%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.87%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-16 08:54
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.74%E -2.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-16 08:53
Coolbet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.21%E -1.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 08:54
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.87%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-16 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.81%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.81%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 08:04
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.81%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.81%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 08:04
Unibet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.81%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 08:05
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.81%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 08:05
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.21%E -1.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 23:34
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-16 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-16 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-16 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.24%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-16 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.90%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-08-16 08:54
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.867%E -0.513%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-15 15:02
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-15 23:28
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 41.48%EV -11.94%E -5.61%K -10.57%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 58.52%EV -11.43%E -7.57%K -22.40%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-16 08:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。