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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.04%50.00%51.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.871.9556.82%53.35%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)
Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -0.500%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.18%49.96%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.881.9956.18%53.16%53.19%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 50.00%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 50.00%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -0.500%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 20:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -0.500%E -0.251%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 07:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -9.50%E -5.25%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.00%E -4.95%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -12.00%E -6.82%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.00%E -6.18%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.