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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 41.19%2.43fair odd
EV -0.738%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.75%40.88%46.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.302.4148.78%44.12%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 58.81%1.70fair odd
EV +4.69%
Edge +2.63%
Kelly +6.01%
Growth +0.281%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.89%58.25%59.12%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.7865.36%61.69%61.73%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 41.19%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 58.81%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -14.33%E -6.89%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +4.69%E +2.63%K +6.01%G +0.281% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -15.57%E -7.59%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +2.33%E +1.34%K +3.15%G +0.074% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +0.569%E +0.333%K +0.801%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -11.45%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +0.569%E +0.333%K +0.801%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.68%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.78%E -1.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-28 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.78%E -1.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.78%E -1.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.78%E -1.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.21%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.96%E -1.79%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.21%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.96%E -1.79%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -9.80%E -4.47%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -2.96%E -1.79%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.51%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.96%E -1.79%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.738%E -0.306%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.15%E -0.479%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.86%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.21%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.97%E -0.829%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.21%E -1.37%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.27%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.