The School of Odds
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.15%39.35%39.35%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.402.402.4845.66%41.65%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 60.67%1.65fair odd
EV -0.500%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.65%60.65%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.6467.57%64.38%64.52%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 39.33%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 60.67%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.64, with an expected value of -0.500%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-07 04:49
William Hill🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 14:29
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:39
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:39
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.994%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:39
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 13:39
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 04:39
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 04:49
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 04:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 04:49
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.82%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.71%E -1.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 04:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.71%E -1.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 04:49
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.75%E -3.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 13:39
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.61%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.57%E -4.26%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 04:48
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.00%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 13:38
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 04:49
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-06 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-06 19:09
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -7.58%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -0.500%E -0.305%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-07 04:49
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.58%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 13:39
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.58%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 04:10
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.58%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.58%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-07 04:39
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.58%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 14:09
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-06 22:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.99%E -6.00%K -17.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-07 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 40.33%EV -13.87%E -6.33%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -10.21%E -6.90%K -21.26%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-07 04:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.