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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.651%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%46.04%46.09%48.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.2052.63%48.84%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV -0.295%
Edge -0.159%
Kelly -0.347%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.82%53.96%53.91%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.731.8560.24%57.45%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 46.11%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 53.89%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.43%E +0.651%K +1.19%G +0.017% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.84%E -4.58%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.43%E +0.651%K +1.19%G +0.017% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.84%E -4.58%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -1.80%E -0.843%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-06 04:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.30%E -4.24%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.84%E -4.58%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 04:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.64%E -1.74%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.53%E -1.97%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 04:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.15%E -2.92%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.07%E -2.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.22%E -3.58%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.22%E -3.58%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.22%E -3.58%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 04:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.15%E -2.92%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-06 04:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.61%E -2.60%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.22%E -3.58%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.76%E -3.91%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 04:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.84%E -4.58%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -8.25%E -4.15%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -0.295%E -0.159%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 04:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.09%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.99%E -1.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 03:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.40%E -6.53%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.53%E -6.35%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-06 04:47 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.