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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 48.56%2.06fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +3.43%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.41%48.38%48.72%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.1455.56%51.19%51.28%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.62%51.28%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.11%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 48.56%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 51.44%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +3.91%E +1.83%K +3.43%G +0.134% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-05 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.456%E -0.222%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 08:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -1.43%E -0.703%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-05 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-05 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.38%E -3.50%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.38%E -3.50%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-05 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-05 08:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.37%E -1.69%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.34%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 05:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 05:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-05 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.80%E -2.99%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.29%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-05 05:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.28%E -3.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 05:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.914%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 05:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 05:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 05:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.25%E -3.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -11.14%E -6.09%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -8.95%E -5.06%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -12.60%E -7.00%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-05 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.