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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 55.53%1.80fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.886%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%55.63%55.70%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.711.8362.50%58.68%58.65%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.37%44.30%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.59%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 55.53%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 44.47%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.62%E +0.886%K +1.95%G +0.032% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.06%E -7.89%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.71%E -0.966%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.27%E -1.29%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 04:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.27%E -1.29%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.95%E -3.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 04:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.95%E -3.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 04:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.95%E -3.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 04:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.95%E -3.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 04:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.95%E -3.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.95%E -3.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 04:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 04:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 04:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 04:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.17%E -2.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 04:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 03:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 04:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.37%E -5.08%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 04:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.37%E -5.08%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -10.60%E -6.58%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.40%E -6.29%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.15%E -6.97%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.