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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 40.39%2.48fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.551%
Kelly +0.916%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.31%40.46%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.342.352.5145.87%42.81%42.55%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 59.61%1.68fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.69%59.54%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.571.6267.11%63.35%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 40.39%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 59.61%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +1.38%E +0.551%K +0.916%G +0.013% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-25 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.576%E +0.231%K +0.386%G +0.002% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.576%E +0.231%K +0.386%G +0.002% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.04%E -0.424%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.04%E -0.424%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 08:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -1.44%E -0.592%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-25 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.44%E -0.592%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.25%E -0.930%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.87%E -1.62%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 06:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.62%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 07:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 08:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 08:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -9.99%E -6.62%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -11.95%E -5.48%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -11.18%E -7.51%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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