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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 52.85%1.89fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.27%52.66%52.86%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.791.801.8759.52%55.73%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 47.15%2.12fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.927%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.34%47.14%49.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.972.002.0854.05%50.64%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 52.85%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 47.15%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.17%E -0.626%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.94%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.53%E -4.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.53%E -4.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.53%E -4.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.53%E -4.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.53%E -4.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -12.77%E -6.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.93%E -0.927%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.00%E -4.66%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.34%E -2.40%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.87%E -1.39%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.34%E -2.40%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.29%E -2.11%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.34%E -2.40%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.29%E -2.11%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.34%E -2.40%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.34%E -1.63%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 05:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.94%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.94%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.87%E -2.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.94%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.40%E -3.02%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 08:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.93%E -3.33%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.34%E -1.63%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.93%E -3.33%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.34%E -1.63%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.45%E -3.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.34%E -1.63%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 08:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.04%E -4.62%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.10%E -5.29%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.70%E -2.85%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -9.63%E -5.63%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.42%E -5.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.54%EV -11.21%E -6.67%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -12.30%E -6.61%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.