Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-09-13 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.26%51.20%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.57%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.74%48.80%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.06%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 51.23%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 48.77%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.94%E -1.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-12 19:15
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.80%E -4.70%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:10
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.77%E -5.28%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.74%E -3.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:27
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 19:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:18
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -9.33%E -5.27%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%EV -9.28%E -4.99%K -10.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.75%E -5.87%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.86%E -6.24%K -14.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.75%E -5.87%K -12.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.