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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 54.20%1.84fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.27%54.38%54.09%56.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.741.8061.73%57.73%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.55%45.62%45.91%47.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.1551.81%48.69%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 54.20%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 45.80%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -2.98%E -1.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.60%E -2.62%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 06:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.60%E -2.62%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 06:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.54%E -0.714%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-24 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 07:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 02:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 02:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 13:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 05:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 05:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 02:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-24 05:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.77%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-24 07:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.31%E -4.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-24 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.31%E -4.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-24 08:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.31%E -4.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.86%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.48%E -5.68%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 04:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.48%E -5.68%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 05:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.48%E -5.68%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 05:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -11.11%E -6.77%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.94%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-24 08:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -12.19%E -7.53%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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