The School of Odds

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-07-24 09:00 UTC — NPB

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Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 53.94%1.85fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.73%53.96%54.00%54.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.741.8160%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 46.06%2.17fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.04%46.00%48.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1052%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.37%E -1.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-23 13:45
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -2.37%E -1.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.64%E -5.48%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 15:35
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.19%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-23 13:44
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.19%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 13:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 13:35
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 13:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 13:34
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 13:35
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 13:35
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 13:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 13:39
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.03%E -2.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 13:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 13:35
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 13:38
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 13:46
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.69%E -3.87%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 13:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.69%E -3.87%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.69%E -3.87%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 13:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.69%E -3.87%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 13:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%EV -8.85%E -5.23%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -9.72%E -4.96%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 13:35
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -9.93%E -5.94%K -14.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.56%E -6.02%K -12.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 13:35
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -9.93%E -5.94%K -14.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -12.02%E -6.29%K -13.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.