默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 43.42%2.30公平赔率
EV -0.133%
优势 -0.058%
Kelly -0.102%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
42.21%43.78%43.29%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.64%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 56.58%1.77公平赔率
EV +0.146%
优势 +0.082%
Kelly +0.189%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
53.05%56.22%56.71%57.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.681.671.7763.69%59.48%59.88%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队):43.42%;Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队):56.58%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.767。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.770,对应+0.146%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.146%E +0.082%K +0.189%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 12:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.986%E -0.563%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.986%E -0.563%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.986%E -0.563%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:04
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.986%E -0.563%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:04
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.986%E -0.563%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:04
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.986%E -0.563%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:04
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.12%E -1.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 08:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 08:45
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 08:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.133%E -0.058%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 08:45
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.78%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 08:54
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 08:39
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 08:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 08:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 08:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 07:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -4.91%E -2.24%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 08:39
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 08:39
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 08:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 08:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 08:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -10.04%E -6.31%K -17.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -11.86%E -5.84%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-12 08:43
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。